- Solana formed a cup and handle pattern, but failure to break $180 shows sentiment remains weak near resistance.
- Whale staking over $50.8M contrasted with $6.3M in long liquidations, revealing diverging conviction.
A newly created wallet staked 296,422 Solana [SOL], worth over $50.8 million, after withdrawing from FalconX. This action highlights strong conviction from long-term holders.
However, Solana’s broader market sentiment appears conflicted. At press time, SOL traded at $168.58, down 1.66% in 24 hours.
While whales are locking in capital, derivatives data painted a nervous picture, hinting at an internal tug-of-war between stability and volatility.
This divergence raised critical questions about Solana’s next decisive move in the current cycle.
SOL liquidation heatmap and leverage zone clusters
According to Binance’s 24-hour Liquidation Heatmap, Solana’s price action between $165 and $175 has triggered heavy liquidations, forming a tight zone of leveraged conflict.
Long positions took the largest hit, with over $6.3 million liquidated, while short liquidations totaled just $767K. This imbalance signals bearish pressure and reflects aggressive overleveraging by bulls.
On top of that, Funding Rates on Binance hovered at +0.0035%—slightly bullish, yet not strong enough to shift sentiment.
Open Interest remained stagnant at $6.85 billion, showing that both sides are holding back for clarity.
Solana’s social sentiment dips
After a period of elevated attention, Solana’s social metrics are cooling rapidly.
Social Dominance dropped to 4.21%, while Social Volume hit just 146 mentions—both considerably lower than the highs observed in April.
This decline points to reduced retail interest and fading community momentum. Historically, reduced social buzz has correlated with weaker price action, particularly in altcoins.
Therefore, Solana’s current price stagnation may persist if public interest does not rebound.
Solana’s Spot Volume dropped by 20.53% to $11.44 billion, indicating diminished immediate demand. Yet, the derivatives landscape reveals a different story.
Options Volume surged by 212.6%, and Options Open Interest increased 17.39%, reflecting a rise in volatility-based strategies.
This shift suggests that while traders are reluctant to engage via spot or perpetuals, they are preparing for sharp moves through hedging or speculation.
Cup and handle pattern forms
Solana appears to be forming a classic cup and handle pattern on the daily chart, often considered a bullish continuation structure. The neckline rests at $260, significantly above the current market price.
At press time, the RSI read 59.26, suggesting balanced momentum just below overbought territory. For the setup to validate, SOL must push above $180 with strong volume.
However, weak sentiment and high liquidations are capping near-term upside.
If bulls fail to break resistance, this formation could collapse into consolidation, delaying any meaningful bullish breakout in the coming sessions.
Solana’s long-term structure remains constructive, but short-term signals show fragility. While whales accumulate, traders remain cautious.
Without a breakout above key levels, SOL may drift or retrace before the next leg.
