Could Pepe price gains skyrocket on heightened risk-on sentiment?


  • Pepe’s price increases alongside a Bitcoin-led rebound across the crypto market.
  • Risk appetite surges as a whale scoops 500 billion PEPE worth around $4.36 million.
  • Pepe’s uptrend steadies above the 50-day EMA support at $0.0000081, while bulls battle short-term resistance at $0.0000091.

Pepe’s price (PEPE) surges over 10% to trade at $0.0000090 at the time of writing on Thursday, mirroring a bullish wave in the wider cryptocurrency market. Investor interest appears to have started favouring altcoins, especially meme coins like PEPE. However, Bitcoin (BTC) is still King, bolstered by steady spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) inflows and institutional adoption.

Bitcoin extends gains above $99,000 in the European session on Thursday, triggering recoveries across the market. This uptrend can be attributed to the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting market expectations after leaving interest rates unchanged at the 4.25%-4.5% range and optimism ahead of United States (US)-China trade talks in Switzerland this weekend.

Moreover, news about a trade deal between the US and the United Kingdom (UK) could boost market sentiment, benefiting risky assets like cryptos. US President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that there will be a “big news conference” at 14:00 GMT on Thursday, concerning a major trade deal with representatives of a “big and highly respected country.” An official at the UK government confirmed early Thursday that President Trump is expected to announce an outline of the US-UK trade agreement.

Pepe’s price picks up steam as whales increase exposure

Optimism for a broad-based altcoin season is fading amid liquidity crunches, heightened volatility and massive token unlocks, which create headwinds. 

Isolated pumps among altcoins suggest that investors are likely focusing on the tokens with the potential to rally. At the same time, key narratives like meme coins, Artificial Intelligence (AI), and real-world assets (RWAs) are taking shape in this cycle.

This outlook has seen Pepe’s price steadily rebound from the tariff-triggered crash in April, backed by increasing demand from large volume investors. According to Lookonchain, a platform tracking large blockchain transactions, a whale purchased 500 billion PEPE valued at approximately $4.36 million. This particular whale holds a total of 2 trillion PEPE, worth roughly $17.42 million.

Lookonchain also highlighted that on April 30, another whale with a staggering $147 million in assets withdrew 1.5 trillion PEPE valued at $13.3 million from Binance. Withdrawals from exchanges often signal a bullish sentiment, as investors move tokens to self-custody wallets for long-term holding. This reduces potential selling pressure by decreasing the available supply on exchanges. 

Santiment’s Supply Distribution metric emphasises the high risk-on sentiment, as the chart below shows that addresses holding between 10 million to 100 million have grown to account for 0.94% of the supply from 0.92% in February. If PEPE’s demand keeps growing, creating a stronger tailwind, its price could rise above $0.00001 or even hit $0.000015 in the near term.

Supply Distribution Metric | Source: Santiment

Pepe’s bulls tackle 100-day EMA resistance

Pepe’s price rebound seems unstoppable on Thursday after reclaiming the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.0000081 as support. Bulls are now knocking on the immediate resistance at $0.0000091, close to the 100-day EMA. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator’s upward trend toward the overbought region showcases the bullish momentum, increasing the probability of PEPE’s climb above the 100-day EMA.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator teases a buy signal on the daily chart. This could manifest with the MACD line (blue) crossing above the signal line (red). If traders increase exposure to PEPE, the uptrend might last longer than expected, with near-term targets at the 200-day EMA around $0.00001 and $0.000015, a level last tested as support and resistance in January.

PEPE/USDT daily chart

However, failing to breach the immediate 100-day EMA hurdle at $0.0000091 or even the 200-day EMA resistance at $0.00001 could create instability, triggering sell-side pressure as traders adjust positions. 

Profit-taking could escalate the probability of a trend reversal. Key levels to monitor for risk mitigation include the 50-day EMA at $0.0000081 and the April 7 low at $0.0000058.

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