Despite geopolitical tensions hinting at a further drop, Bitcoin surprised with a strong rebound overnight. Key technical signals and macroeconomic announcements played a crucial role. Is this just a temporary spike or the beginning of a bullish phase ?
Why BTC Surprised the Markets Last Night
After briefly dropping below $98,500 on Sunday, Bitcoin quickly regained the $106,000 mark on Monday. This indicates strong demand from institutional investors despite growing global turmoil. However, this sudden volatility has raised concerns about the stability of Bitcoin mining. An 8% decline in the observed hashrate during the Middle East crisis is evident.
Source: CoinGlass
Some analysts have indeed noticed a significant drop in Bitcoin’s hashrate. It decreased from 943.6 million terahashes per second (TH/s) to 865.1 million TH/s between Sunday and Thursday, marking an 8% decline that fueled speculations about potential disruptions in mining operations in the region. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions are escalating.
Simultaneously, oil prices dropped on Monday, coinciding with a 1% increase in the S&P 500 index. Following a retaliatory attack in Qatar, traders increasingly bet on the likelihood of the Federal Reserve (Fed) lowering short-term interest rates. This hope for more accommodative monetary policies seems to have supported the Bitcoin’s rebound.
What This Bitcoin Resurgence Reveals About the Market
Speculating on a Bitcoin surge to $110,000 based solely on hopes of calm in the Middle East is premature. The swift rebound above $100,000 suggests that institutional interest in cryptocurrency remains strong even amidst geopolitical tensions. Investors will closely monitor developments, watching for any signs of easing or further escalation.
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